{"id":761,"date":"2020-05-06T08:29:00","date_gmt":"2020-05-06T08:29:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/darylilbury.com\/?p=761"},"modified":"2020-08-07T09:25:44","modified_gmt":"2020-08-07T09:25:44","slug":"im-afraid-its-not-that-simple","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/darylilbury.com\/?p=761","title":{"rendered":"I&#8217;m afraid it&#8217;s not that simple"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\"><strong>Much has been said about what scientists have said about Covid-19; but all that must be examined against one of the bothersome things about science: its mind-boggling complexity.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[An extract from&nbsp;<\/strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Tim-Noakes-Maverick-Daryl-Ilbury-ebook\/dp\/B0719L597X\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><em><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">Tim Noakes: The Quiet Maverick<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/a><strong>]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scientific knowledge comes with caveats: it is at best incomplete, at worst wrong, most likely somewhere in-between. At issue is the scope and complexity of the subject matter (our natural world), the robustness demanded of the way we examine it (the scientific method), the demands, frailties and idiosyncrasies of those implementing it (the scientists), and the resultant disconnects, which are euphemistically referred to as \u2018dodgy science\u2019.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s dig deeper into the issue of complexity. If you ever find yourself with a little time on your hands, I urge you to look up a paper titled \u2018<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/abs\/pii\/S0003347299913428\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">Alternative reproductive tactics and male-dimorphism in the horned beetle&nbsp;<em>Onthophagus acuminatus<\/em><\/span><\/a>\u2019 by Douglas J. Emlen, an evolutionary biologist and professor of biology at the University of Montana, in the US. It\u2019s a fascinating and entertaining paper about the males of this particular species of dung beetle&nbsp;which have a pair of horns that protrude from the base of the head, and how their reproductive behaviour differs according to the size of their horns. Those with more intimidating horns guard tunnels leading to the females, while those with smaller horns find devious ways of reaching them &#8211; the females, not the tunnels &#8211; such as digging new tunnels that intercept those guarded by the males with the really big horns.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now let\u2019s put Professor Emlen\u2019s paper into context: it\u2019s just one paper that touches on one specific form of behaviour of just one of approximately 2 000 species that form part of the genus&nbsp;<em>Onthophagus<\/em>&nbsp;(from the Greek for dung eater), which is part of the family Scarabaeidae (or scarab beetles) of which there are about 30 000 species in total, which makes up a fraction of a larger family, Scarabaeoidea, which is only one part of the order Coleoptera (all beetles), which are part of the larger class Insecta (all insects, of which there are well over 900 000 species), which is just one of many phyla that include other invertebrates such as crabs and spiders, which are part of the larger animal kingdom (that includes mammals, such as us humans), which is one of five kingdoms of living things on our planet (the others are plants, fungi, monera &#8211; such as bacteria &#8211; and protists, such as algae).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-pullquote\"><blockquote><p>Science is driven by that motto of the Royal Society:\u00a0<em>nullius in verba<\/em>\u00a0&#8211; take nobody\u2019s word for it.<\/p><\/blockquote><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>And that\u2019s just living things.* There are also scientists like Emlen examining every single component &#8211; from the invisible to the microscopic to the visible &#8211; of the&nbsp;<em>inanimate<\/em>&nbsp;world on which we live, including everything to do with the air around it, the immediate space around that world, all the known components in the solar system in which our planet resides, every known component of the billions of stars in our galaxy, and every one of the billion known galaxies in our known universe. Oh yes, and there are theoretical physicists who study what is believed to be the myriad multiverses of which our universe is just one. And then there are those who examine the chemical building blocks of all of that, and those who delve even deeper into the subatomic building blocks of those building blocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have probably left out other disciplines, and for that I apologise, but I think you get the point. And here\u2019s the kicker: for every paper like Emlen\u2019s that is published, there are other scientists who&nbsp;<em>must<\/em>&nbsp;challenge it, because science is driven by that motto of the Royal Society:&nbsp;<em>nullius in verba<\/em>&nbsp;&#8211; take nobody\u2019s word for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There have been many attempts to explain what science is, that it\u2019s a discipline, an authority, a method, a body of knowledge, a human endeavour; and, yes, it\u2019s all of those, but I think that just confuses the matter. So I\u2019m going to suggest another descriptive tag that embraces all of this, that captures its complexity and the role that humans play in it, and it\u2019s one I suspect many scientists won\u2019t like, but here it is anyway: science is a game. It\u2019s an ongoing tussle between humans in all their idiosyncratic fallibility and nature in all her beguiling perfection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[<em>Tim Noakes: The Quiet Maverick&nbsp;<\/em>by Daryl Ilbury, is available online at leading bookstores and on&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Tim-Noakes-Maverick-Daryl-Ilbury-ebook\/dp\/B0719L597X\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">Amazon.com<\/span><\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Viruses, in case you were wondering, are not&nbsp;biological organisms, so they are&nbsp;not&nbsp;classified in&nbsp;any kingdom&nbsp;of living things. According to&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/science\/virus\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">Encyclopaedia Britannica<\/span><\/a>: &#8220;Viruses occupy a special taxonomic position: they are not plants, animals, or&nbsp;prokaryotic&nbsp;bacteria (single-cell organisms without defined nuclei), and they are generally placed in their own kingdom. In fact, viruses should not even be considered organisms, in the strictest sense, because they are not free-living\u2014i.e., they cannot reproduce and carry on metabolic processes without a host&nbsp;cell.&#8221; Just to add to the issue of complexity&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Much has been said about what scientists have said about Covid-19; but all that must be examined against one of the bothersome things about science: its mind-boggling complexity. [An extract from&nbsp;Tim Noakes: The Quiet Maverick] Scientific knowledge comes with caveats: it is at best incomplete, at worst wrong, most likely somewhere in-between. At issue is&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":762,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[107,1,19,2,21],"tags":[149,27,152,23],"class_list":["post-761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","category-general","category-journalism","category-media","category-science","tag-covid-19","tag-media","tag-quiet-maveric","tag-science"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>I&#039;m afraid it&#039;s not that simple - Daryl Ilbury<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/darylilbury.com\/?p=761\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"I&#039;m afraid it&#039;s not that simple - Daryl Ilbury\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Much has been said about what scientists have said about Covid-19; but all that must be examined against one of the bothersome things about science: its mind-boggling complexity. 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